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Daily-mean flood screening: Thames at Kingston, England

Find the observed record, inspect its usable period, and take a reproducible flood-screening example into your own work. This is a maintainer reproduction; independent hydrologist review is pending.

Open the gauge · Open the recorded analysis

What this snapshot contains

Property Retained evidence
Agency Environment Agency
Station uk_ea/8496ce69-482c-406a-a2f0-ac418ef8f099
Observations 51,947 daily mean discharge values, m³/s
Actual period 1883-10-01 to 2026-09-09
Agency licence OGL-UK-3.0
Input CSV SHA-256 9bb306f0fe804576bc5591c8f79727dfe0a5078a9c86c2592efb89bdc7b13957

The recorded example compares GEV L-moments, LP3, and GEV MLE on complete-year annual maxima. Each uncertainty interval belongs to its named estimator. Record length, extrapolation, fit spread and maxima trend are checked separately. The result's grade applies to this screening question and its tested checks.

Recorded conclusion: Screen the 100-year daily-mean flood at Thames at Kingston, England; identify estimator uncertainty and limitations: 100-year return level, GEV (L-moments) 652.5 m3/s (established).

Daily means can understate instantaneous flood peaks. Stationarity and independence remain assumptions. No channel topology, regulation assessment, or model/gauge catchment comparability was established. This is not a certified design flood or a complete Bulletin 17C analysis.

Keep and reproduce the evidence

Download the observations CSV, self-contained report, complete study, and provenance. Use Tools → Open saved study for the complete file; it restores the recorded results without rerunning the analysis. These URLs become available when this adoption build is deployed. For immutable citation, use a named release or the source commit recorded in the provenance, not a mutable deployment URL.

To regenerate all three examples, save the three retained CSVs under their original names (fish-river-us-cold.csv, kingston-uk-cold.csv, seine-fr-cold.csv) and run python -m examples.adoption_reference --input-dir retained-csvs --out regenerated. Set AQUASCOPE_REVISION to the checked-out commit. The script makes no agency or language-model calls; it regenerates statistics, checks, figures and reports.

See validation scope, saving and sharing, and Python, R and QGIS handoffs.